TAG's Weekly News Analysis
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Under Attack
Dear Friends, It was an emotional week for Americans as the relentless disease of political violence claimed its latest tragic victim in the young Charlie Kirk, only to be followed a day later by the anniversary of 9/11 – where we commemorated the thousands of innocents who were senselessly killed under the guise of ideology...
Is All That Glitters Gold?
Dear Friends, As the seasons begin to change, I’m struck by the difference between what we see and what’s happening beneath the surface- both in the natural world and the political one. When it comes to the alliance displayed among China, Russia, and North Korea, I’m wary of overestimating the strength of their friendship. I’m...
Forged in Friction
I’m pleased to share another week of analysis with you in my 3+1 Weekly Risk Report. I also invite you to take a look at my op-ed which ran yesterday in USA Today. The drug cartel threat is a mounting national security concern. But we must partner with Mexico to prosecute the drug war in...
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Successful Compromise
Dear Friends, As the new year approaches, I’m struck by how nations are carefully balancing their economic needs with their political ones, and the compromises they’re making in the process. Whether the US should allow semiconductor chips to be sent to China or if Israel should send gas to Egypt are the types of decisions...
Seizing Opportunity
There was a major escalation in Washington’s pressure campaign against the Venezuelan regime this week when the US military seized the sanctioned oil tanker Skipper off the coast of Venezuela on the very same day that the Nobel Peace Prize was being awarded to Maria Corina Machado—the Venezuelan opposition leader. The Trump administration has been...
Conflicting Accounts
Dear Friends, The kinetic wars of the past several years have sparked an urgent need for increased diplomacy and military defenses alike. We’re seeing both at play right now in Eastern Europe, where Washington is trying to advance ceasefire negotiations while developments on the physical battlefield might be the ultimate decider. We discuss this...
Slowly, then All at Once
Dear Friends, New security developments—which appear to spring up overnight—are often underpinned by growing tensions. Twin terrorist attacks within 24 hours in South Asia. Coalition governments teetering on the brink in places like Israel. Military buildups accelerating among two former WWII Axis powers. Mass protests materializing quickly in Mexico. For those of us who...
Changing Tune
Dear Friends, What a government chooses not to do can be as meaningful as what it does. When Secretary of State Rubio boards a plane to Canada for the G7 but the administration boycotts the G20 in Johannesburg and skips COP30 in Brazil entirely, that’s not simply calendar management, it’s strategic signaling. When a former jihadist...
Carrots and Sticks, and Carrot Sticks
Dear Friends, As we navigate another active week in global affairs, I’m struck by the expansive nature and wide range of Washington’s foreign policy efforts. From President Trump’s surprise confrontation with one of Africa’s most populous nations to the high-stakes electoral drama unfolding in Baghdad, Washington is trying to exert influence through a combination...
