Linked Leverage

The conflict between Iran and Washington has evolved into a fight between Iranian resilience and US patience, and so far Tehran appears confident that the impasse will ultimately work in its favor. Iran knows that President Trump is hesitant to resume kinetic attacks—both because of the risk it this poses to American lives and the potential inability to achieve his goals through military means—but that he’s also eager to get the Strait of Hormuz back up and running and needs to move the needle. With this dynamic at play, Iran appears to believe that it can get greater concessions out of Washington than it had initially hoped.